“I think, based on what the bills are telling us, the Democratic Alliance is going to come out on top.”
Nikolaus Bauer · SAfm · The Daily Discourse · 03 Nov 2026
The event so far
3 predictions from 2 stations
Tue 22 Sep, 14:04SAfm
No political party will win an outright majority on the Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan Municipality council in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.Gayton McKenzie
Thu 29 Oct, 15:05Cape Talk
The Democratic Alliance will win an outright majority of seats on the Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan Municipality council in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.Jordan Hill Lewis
Tue 3 Nov, 10:54SAfmThis one
The Democratic Alliance will be the largest party on the Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan Municipality council after the 4 November 2026 local government elections.
Nikolaus Bauer
A falsifiable call made on live South African radio, extracted from the broadcast transcript and tracked to its outcome against public sources — with its audio receipt. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds; there is nothing to wager on. How the prediction desk works