“the early indications are that it is going to be probably well below 50% in the sort of low 40s, maybe mid-40s”
Dan Corder · Cape Talk · Afternoon Drive · 04 Nov 2026
The event so far
19 predictions from 4 stations
Wed 19 Aug, 21:19Power FM
The Democratic Alliance will receive about 23% of the vote in South Africa's next local government election.Nsako Shibambu
Mon 24 Aug, 00:37Power FM
The African National Congress will win below 30% of the vote in the 2026 South African local government elections.Rayot Khajwayo
Mon 24 Aug, 09:23SAfm
The African National Congress will win the 2026 South African local government elections.A caller
Mon 31 Aug, 23:56702
The MK Party will receive more votes than the African National Congress in the 2026 South African local government elections.The host
Wed 2 Sep, 21:30SAfm
The African National Congress will receive the largest share of the national vote in the 2026 South African local government elections.2 people called this · 1 yes, 1 no
Wed 16 Sep, 11:23Cape Talk
The African National Congress will receive less than 40% of the vote in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no
Thu 17 Sep, 17:32SAfm
The African National Congress will not win a majority in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.3 people called this · 2 yes, 1 no
Thu 24 Sep, 07:05Power FM
The MK Party will win an outright victory in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.Jacob Zuma
Wed 7 Oct, 09:22Cape Talk
The Patriotic Alliance will be the biggest winner in South Africa's 4 November 2026 local government elections.A guest
Sun 11 Oct, 06:02Power FM
The African National Congress will receive a higher share of the national vote in the 4 November 2026 local government elections than it received in the 2021 local government elections.Ramaphosa
Wed 21 Oct, 16:14Cape Talk
The African National Congress will win a smaller share of the national vote in the 4 November 2026 local government elections than it won in the 2024 national and provincial elections.Paul Berkowitz
Tue 3 Nov, 16:12Cape Talk
The African National Congress and the Democratic Alliance will be the two largest parties by national vote share in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.Hadria
Wed 4 Nov, 08:55SAfm
National voter turnout in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections will be between 55% and 60% of registered voters.Ronej Dwaraj
Wed 4 Nov, 17:51Cape TalkThis one
Voter turnout in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections will be below 50% of registered voters.
Dan Corder
Thu 5 Nov, 08:16SAfm
National voter turnout in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections will be around 52% to 53% of registered voters.Tabelo Zilabedi
A falsifiable call made on live South African radio, extracted from the broadcast transcript and tracked to its outcome against public sources — with its audio receipt. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds; there is nothing to wager on. How the prediction desk works