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No party will win more than 50% plus one of the vote in the city of Johannesburg in the 2026 local government election.

[Politics]Check by 04 Nov 2026 (est.)

No party will win more than 50% plus one of the vote in the city of Johannesburg in the 2026 local government election.

“There's no doubt nobody's going to get 50% plus one in the city of Chobuk.”

Lukuan Amgoni · 702 · The Clement Manyathela Show · 14 Aug 2026

The event so far

12 predictions from 4 stations

  1. Fri 14 Aug, 10:16702This one

    No party will win more than 50% plus one of the vote in the city of Johannesburg in the 2026 local government election.

    Lukuan Amgoni

  2. Tue 25 Aug, 01:20Power FM

    Johannesburg will continue to be governed through a coalition after the 2026 South African local government elections, with no political party winning an outright majority.

    A guest

  3. Fri 4 Sep, 09:27702

    In the 2026 City of Johannesburg election, Helen Zille and Herman Mashaba will each receive more votes than Bongani Baloyi and Nobuntu.

    The host

  4. Thu 10 Sep, 11:19702

    No political party will achieve a 50% plus one majority in the City of Johannesburg council in the 2026 local government elections.

    3 people called this · 3 yes, 0 no

  5. Thu 10 Sep, 11:57702

    The African National Congress will win a solid majority in the City of Johannesburg council in the 2026 local government elections.

    2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no

  6. Mon 14 Sep, 10:49Power FM

    The MK Party will be the largest party in the City of Johannesburg council after the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    Bongani Baloy

  7. Fri 25 Sep, 14:55SAfm

    The Democratic Alliance will win an outright majority on the Johannesburg council in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    Belinda

  8. Mon 5 Oct, 09:47702

    The Democratic Alliance will receive the largest share of the vote in the City of Johannesburg in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    Mochani

  9. Wed 7 Oct, 16:10Cape Talk

    The MK Party will not win the City of Johannesburg election in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    John Matham

A falsifiable call made on live South African radio, extracted from the broadcast transcript and tracked to its outcome against public sources — with its audio receipt. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds; there is nothing to wager on. How the prediction desk works