Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

67%

of 6 graded calls were right · this filter

4 correct2 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Correct calls, newest first1–4 of 4

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

South Africa’s official fuel price adjustments took effect on 2026-10-07, with petrol rising by R3.12 a litre and R3.33 a litre

The event so far

5 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Fri 25 Sep, 15:12702This one

    John Perlman

    Correct
  2. Incorrect
  3. Incorrect
  4. Correct
+1 more
John Perlman · 702Aired 25 Sept

The verdict· graded 23 Sept

South African Reserve Bank (SARB) governor Lesetja Kganyago this afternoon announced that the prime lending rate would increase by 0.25 percentage points given the upside to inflation.

The event so far

6 predictions from 3 stations

  1. Incorrect
  2. Thu 10 Sep, 17:46Power FMThis one

    4 people called this · 3 yes, 1 no

    Correct
  3. Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

The host · Power FMAired 10 Sept

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter point, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, at its 16 September 2026 meeting. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the Fed would raise its policy rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve's own statement for that meeting says the Committee decided to raise the target range by a quarter of a percentage point.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

Kyle · SAfmAired 14 Sept

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 28 August 2026, USD/ZAR traded and closed below R16 per US dollar.

The claim required both a move below R16 and a trading-day close below that level by 2026-08-28, and the research notes explicitly confirm that happened on 28 August 2026. That matches the prediction exactly, so it is correct.

The host · SAfmAired 24 Aug

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].