Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded: 169graded
correct: 57%correct
open: 83open
close this week: 3close this week; 30 graded in the last 7 days →

67%

of 15 graded calls were right · this filter

10 correct5 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Record by stationtracked calls aired on each station

Station	Right / graded	Hit rate
702	5 / 6	83%
SAfm	4 / 6	67%
Power FM	1 / 3	33%

A station’s number is mostly what its shows talk about — sport and politics grade very differently. Narrow by topic to compare like with like.

Verdicts, newest first1–6 of 6

[Economy]Correct

South Africa's regulated fuel price will increase by R3 per litre in October 2026.

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

South Africa’s official fuel price adjustments took effect on 2026-10-07, with petrol rising by R3.12 a litre and R3.33 a litre

The event so far

5 predictions from 2 stations

Fri 25 Sep, 15:12702This one
John Perlman
Correct
Thu 1 Oct, 05:23SAfm
South Africa’s regulated petrol and diesel prices will each increase by approximately R2.50 per litre in the fuel-price adjustment announced on 7 October 2026.
Matthew Parks
Incorrect
Sun 4 Oct, 23:02702
South Africa’s official fuel-price adjustment on 7 October 2026 will increase both grades of petrol by R3 per litre and push diesel above R33 per litre.
Frederick Mitchell
Incorrect
Mon 5 Oct, 13:16SAfm
South Africa’s official petrol and diesel prices will reach record highs in the fuel-price adjustment effective on 7 October 2026.
Bridget Mussink
Correct

+1 more

[Economy]Correct

The South African Reserve Bank will raise its policy interest rate at its September 2026 monetary policy announcement.

The verdict· graded 23 Sept

South African Reserve Bank (SARB) governor Lesetja Kganyago this afternoon announced that the prime lending rate would increase by 0.25 percentage points given the upside to inflation.

The event so far

6 predictions from 3 stations

Wed 19 Aug, 18:52Power FM
The South African Reserve Bank will keep the repo rate unchanged at 7% at its September 2026 meeting.
Tsiamo Masike
Incorrect
Thu 10 Sep, 17:46Power FMThis one
4 people called this · 3 yes, 1 no
Correct
Fri 18 Sep, 18:30702
The South African Reserve Bank will raise its policy interest rate by 25 basis points at its 23 September 2026 monetary policy announcement.
Matete Tolare
Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

[Economy]Correct

The United States Federal Reserve will raise its policy interest rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting.

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter point, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, at its 16 September 2026 meeting. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the Fed would raise its policy rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve's own statement for that meeting says the Committee decided to raise the target range by a quarter of a percentage point.

Source

federalreserve.gov

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

[Economy]Incorrect

The South African Transport and Allied Workers Union's truck-driver members will begin industrial action before 2026-09-15.

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

Talks deadlocked and SATAWU truck-driver members had a strike certificate, but the evidence does not show industrial action actually began.

The dated 2026-08-18 item shows only a deadlock in talks and that SATAWU truck drivers had already obtained a strike certificate, which is preparation rather than the start of industrial action. The undated agreement also does not establish that a strike began before 2026-09-15.

2 sources

[Economy]Correct

Canada's counter-tariffs against the United States will take effect on 2026-09-08.

The verdict· graded 08 Sept

Canada’s counter-tariffs on U.S. goods took effect on September 8, 2026.

The prediction named the effective date, and the official Canadian notices say the counter-tariffs were effective as of 12:01 a.m. on September 8, 2026. That matches the claim exactly, with no date mismatch or other qualifying detail.

2 sources

[Economy]Correct

The South African rand will trade below R16 per US dollar again and will close a trading day below R16 by 2026-08-28.

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 28 August 2026, USD/ZAR traded and closed below R16 per US dollar.

The claim required both a move below R16 and a trading-day close below that level by 2026-08-28, and the research notes explicitly confirm that happened on 28 August 2026. That matches the prediction exactly, so it is correct.

3 sources