Accountability
On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome
Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.
Open calls
Recently resolved
[Sport]Correct
The All Blacks will defeat the Springboks in the series.
The verdict· graded 31 Aug
The All Blacks won the first test 33 to 16.
Readers: 100% said yes · 1 vote
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
South Africa beat New Zealand 33-26 at DHL Stadium on 29 August 2026, leveling the series 1-1.
The prediction said New Zealand would defeat South Africa in the second test at DHL Stadium. The match result was the opposite: South Africa won 33-26 in that game, so the stated outcome did not happen.
Source
Readers: 0% said yes · 1 vote
The verdict· graded 26 Aug
The All Blacks beat the Lions 41–35 at Ellis Park on 25 August 2026, and New Zealand scored 41 points.
The claim was only about New Zealand’s points total, not the margin. Since 41 is between 40 and 50, the predicted scoring range was met even though the match was close rather than a blowout.
2 sources
Readers: 100% said yes · 1 vote
The verdict· graded 24 Aug
Lando Norris won the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort, George Russell finished second, and Charles Leclerc finished fifth.
The claim got the podium order wrong: Norris did not finish second, Russell did not finish third, and Leclerc did not win at all. The actual result had Norris first, Russell second, and Leclerc fifth, so the predicted finishing positions do not match the outcome.
Source
The verdict· graded 23 Aug
The All Blacks won the first test 33-16, so South Africa could not be 3-0 up after the first three tests.
The claim predicted South Africa would be 3-0 up after the first three tests, but the first test was won by the All Blacks 33-16. That makes the 3-0 South African lead impossible, so the claim was wrong.
Source
The verdict· graded 23 Aug
The All Blacks beat South Africa 33–16 on 2026-08-22, and Damian McKenzie started at fly-half instead of Reuben Love.
The claim was about Reuben Love starting at fly-half, but the outcome says Damian McKenzie started there instead. So the prediction got the selected starter wrong, even though the All Blacks did play South Africa.
Source
The verdict· graded 23 Aug
New Zealand beat South Africa 33-16 at Ellis Park on 22 August 2026, so the All Blacks did not win 26-19. (Score corrected by the desk: the original automated resolution reported a 31-27 South Africa win, contradicting nine other resolutions of the same match.)
The call named the right winner but the wrong scoreline: the All Blacks did win, but 33-16 rather than 26-19, so the predicted margin was out by eleven points.
Source
Readers: 0% said yes · 2 votes
The verdict· graded 23 Aug
New Zealand beat South Africa 33-16 at Ellis Park on 2026-08-22, not 27-19.
The claim got the winner right, but the predicted margin and final score were wrong. New Zealand did beat South Africa on the stated date and at Ellis Park, but the actual score was 33-16, not 27-19.
Source
The verdict· graded 22 Aug
On 22 August 2026 at Ellis Park, New Zealand beat South Africa 33-16, so the Springboks did not defeat the All Blacks.
The claim said South Africa would beat New Zealand, but the outcome was the opposite: New Zealand won 33-16. So the prediction got the winner wrong, not just the margin or details.
Source
The verdict· graded 22 Aug
New Zealand beat South Africa 33-16 at Ellis Park on 2026-08-22.
The claim got the winner and scoreline wrong: South Africa did not beat New Zealand 27-22, and the match at Ellis Park on that date ended with New Zealand winning 33-16 instead.
Source
Readers: 100% said yes · 1 vote