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On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

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30 graded in the last 7 days →

Open calls, soonest first1–13 of 13

[Politics]

The African National Congress will receive the largest share of the national vote in the 2026 South African local government elections.

The event so far

12 predictions from 4 stations

  1. Wed 19 Aug, 21:19Power FM

    The Democratic Alliance will receive about 23% of the vote in South Africa's next local government election.

    Nsako Shibambu

  2. Mon 24 Aug, 00:37Power FM

    The African National Congress will win below 30% of the vote in the 2026 South African local government elections.

    Rayot Khajwayo

  3. Mon 24 Aug, 09:23SAfm

    The African National Congress will win the 2026 South African local government elections.

    A caller

  4. Wed 2 Sep, 21:30SAfmThis one

    2 people called this · 1 yes, 1 no

+6 more

Reader poll opens once the result is public

A caller · SAfmCheck by 04 Nov (est.)
[Politics]

No political party will win an outright majority on the Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality council in the 4 November 2026 local government elections, resulting in coalition governance.

The event so far

4 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Tue 22 Sep, 08:49SAfmThis one

    Babi Mogwena

  2. Wed 30 Sep, 21:26Power FM

    The Democratic Alliance will be the biggest party in Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality after the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.

    Werner Pretorius

  3. Wed 30 Sep, 23:39Power FM

    The African National Congress will lose control of Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.

    Howard Sexton

  4. Sat 10 Oct, 18:04SAfm

    The African National Congress will win an outright majority on the Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality council in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    Ramaphosa

Reader poll opens once the result is public

Babi Mogwena · SAfmCheck by 04 Nov (est.)
[Politics]

No political party will achieve a 50% plus one majority in the City of Johannesburg council in the 2026 local government elections.

The event so far

12 predictions from 4 stations

  1. Fri 14 Aug, 10:16702

    No party will win more than 50% plus one of the vote in the city of Johannesburg in the 2026 local government election.

    Lukuan Amgoni

  2. Tue 25 Aug, 01:20Power FM

    Johannesburg will continue to be governed through a coalition after the 2026 South African local government elections, with no political party winning an outright majority.

    A guest

  3. Fri 4 Sep, 09:27702

    In the 2026 City of Johannesburg election, Helen Zille and Herman Mashaba will each receive more votes than Bongani Baloyi and Nobuntu.

    The host

  4. Thu 10 Sep, 11:19702This one

    3 people called this · 3 yes, 0 no

+5 more

Reader poll opens once the result is public

Lukonamguni · 702Check by 04 Nov (est.)
[Politics]

The Democratic Alliance will not win an outright majority on the City of Cape Town council in the 4 November 2026 South African local government elections.

The event so far

4 predictions from 3 stations

  1. Thu 13 Aug, 11:43Cape Talk

    Cape Town will have a multi-party council after the 2026 local government elections on 2026-11-04.

    Dwayne Jacobs

  2. Wed 16 Sep, 22:54Power FMThis one

    3 people called this · 1 yes, 2 no

Reader poll opens once the result is public

A guest · Power FMCheck by 04 Nov (est.)
[Politics]

Most South African metropolitan municipalities will be hung councils after the 2026 local government elections.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Wed 19 Aug, 15:44SAfmThis one

    Sandile Eswana

  2. Mon 31 Aug, 01:25Power FM

    No political party will win an outright majority in any of South Africa’s eight major metropolitan municipalities in the 2026 local government elections, resulting in coalition governments.

    Godfrey Labalo

Reader poll opens once the result is public

Sandile Eswana · SAfmCheck by 05 Nov (est.)
[Politics]

The Democratic Alliance will win more than 50% of the seats on the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality council in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

The event so far

3 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Mon 28 Sep, 11:34Power FMThis one

    2 people called this · 1 yes, 1 no

  2. Thu 8 Oct, 04:29702

    Action SA will not receive more votes than the African National Congress in the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality in the 4 November 2026 local government elections.

    The host

Reader poll opens once the result is public

Katu Rasilingwane · Power FMCheck by 05 Nov (est.)

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].