Accountability
Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.
57%
of 169 graded calls were right
96 correct73 incorrect
Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.
| Station | Right / graded | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| 702 | 25 / 33 | 76% |
| SAfm | 28 / 38 | 74% |
| Power FM | 21 / 46 | 46% |
| Cape Talk | 19 / 42 | 45% |
| 947 | 3 / 7 | 43% |
| Kaya 959 | 0 / 3 | 0% |
A station’s number is mostly what its shows talk about — sport and politics grade very differently. Narrow by topic to compare like with like.
3 named speakers have at least 3 graded calls: Avon Middleton (3 of 5), Errol (1 of 3) and Matthew Parks (1 of 3). A ranked speaker table opens once 5 qualify.
The verdict· graded 13 Sept
Orlando Pirates beat La Cure Waves 3-1 on 12 September 2026 and advanced to the second preliminary round on aggregate.
The prediction said Pirates would advance after the second leg on 12 September 2026, and the notes say they won that second leg 3-1 and moved on. That matches the claimed outcome exactly.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 12 Sept
R 2 342 110 raised of R2.5 million - 94% of target reached
The verdict· graded 12 Sept
Ben Shelton defeated Frances Tiafoe in the 2026 US Open men’s singles semifinal on September 11, 2026.
The research notes explicitly confirm Shelton beat Tiafoe in that semifinal. That matches the prediction exactly, including the tournament, round, and winner.
Source
Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no
The verdict· graded 12 Sept
By 11 September 2026, the committee had not tabled its report and was still seeking an extension to finish the draft.
The prediction required the report to be submitted by that date, but Parliament said on 11 September 2026 the committee was asking for more time instead. Because the report was not actually submitted, the predicted outcome did not occur, so the claimed majority and dissenting views were never established on the official record.
The event so far
2 predictions from 2 stations
Wed 9 Sep, 11:17Power FMThis one
Kateko Mawasa
Fri 11 Sep, 07:03702
Parliament’s ad hoc committee investigating police corruption will request an extension to submit its draft report on 11 September 2026.A correspondent
The verdict· graded 11 Sept
Coco Gauff did not win the 2026 US Open women’s singles title; Elena Rybakina beat her in the semifinal.
The claim required Gauff to win the title, but the research notes say she lost in the semifinal to Rybakina. Since she was eliminated before the final, the predicted outcome did not happen.
Source
Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no
The verdict· graded 11 Sept
Manchester United beat Sabah FC 4-0 on 10 September 2026 in the UEFA Champions League match.
The prediction said Sabah FC would defeat Manchester United, but the research notes report the actual final score was Manchester United 4-0 Sabah. That outcome is the opposite of the claim, so the prediction was wrong.
Source
Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no
The verdict· graded 10 Sept
Coco Gauff defeated Mirra Andreeva in the US Open quarterfinal, 2-6, 7-6(7), 6-2, and advanced to the semifinals.
The match had already been played and the notes report Gauff as the winner. That matches the prediction that Gauff would defeat Andreeva in their quarterfinal.
Source
The verdict· graded 10 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns defeated Siwelele FC 3–0 on 9 September 2026.
The prediction said Sundowns would defeat Siwelele FC in that match, and the researched result shows Sundowns won 3–0 on the stated date. The exact margin was not specified in the prediction, but the predicted winner and outcome match.
Source
The verdict· graded 10 Sept
Alexander Zverev defeated Botic van de Zandschulp in the 2026 US Open men’s singles quarterfinal on September 9, 2026.
The research notes explicitly state that Zverev beat van de Zandschulp in that quarterfinal on the stated date. That matches the prediction’s winner, round, and date, so the claim is satisfied.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 09 Sept
By 9 September 2026, Iran had targeted a U.S. warship twice and the United States said it destroyed five Iranian crude oil tankers.
The prediction required both an Iranian attempt against a U.S. naval ship and a U.S. destruction of at least one Iranian oil tanker on 9 September 2026. CENTCOM said the warship was targeted twice and the U.S. destroyed five tankers, so both parts of the claim were met.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 09 Sept
Frances Tiafoe defeated Alex Michelsen in the US Open men's singles quarterfinal on 8 September 2026, 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6(6).
The claim said Tiafoe would defeat Michelsen in that specific quarterfinal, and the match was completed with Tiafoe as the winner. The date and event match the prediction exactly, so the outcome confirms the call.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 08 Sept
Canada’s counter-tariffs on U.S. goods took effect on September 8, 2026.
The prediction named the effective date, and the official Canadian notices say the counter-tariffs were effective as of 12:01 a.m. on September 8, 2026. That matches the claim exactly, with no date mismatch or other qualifying detail.
The verdict· graded 07 Sept
Canal+ publicly confirmed the DStv package restructuring on 7 September 2026, including the new package lineup and rollout date.
The claim was that the public confirmation would happen on Monday, 7 September 2026, and the research notes say it did. The notes identify the event as the confirmation point, not just a preview or leak, so the timing and substance both match.
Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no
The verdict· graded 07 Sept
By 2026-09-06, the ANC had not publicly concluded its final mayoral nominee selection and was still dealing with election-list turmoil.
The claim required the selection process to be concluded by the deadline, but the research notes show it was still delayed and unresolved on 2026-09-06. That means the predicted outcome did not occur by the specified date.
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
Kimi Antonelli finished 1st at the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza.
Finishing 1st is inside the predicted top-five range, so the claim is satisfied. The race result is explicitly recorded as concluded with Antonelli in P1.
2 sources
Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
Tadej Pogačar did not win the 2026 Vuelta a España; he abandoned the race on stage 8 after a crash, and Enric Mas was later the GC leader.
The prediction named Pogačar as the race winner, but the race outcome in the notes shows he withdrew on stage 8 and therefore could not win. The claim is settled against the speaker because the actual result diverged from the predicted winner, not just the margin or method.
3 sources
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
Uncanny Alley: A New Day won Outstanding Emerging Media Program at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys on September 5, 2026.
Rick Treweek’s nominated project did win the Emmy, so the prediction that he would win his nomination was realized. The claim and the outcome match on the specific category and event date.
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
During the mass student march on Thursday, 27 August 2026, UCT News, University of Cape Town (UCT) students handed over a memorandum of demands to both the National Student Financial Aid Scheme (NSFAS) and the Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET). [1] (https://www.facebook.com/DHETinSA
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
On 5 September 2026, New Zealand's Black Ferns defeated South Africa's Springbok Women 52–20 in Johannesburg.
The claim was that the Black Ferns would defeat the Springbok Women on 2026-09-05, and the match report confirms they did. The result matches both the winner and the date, so the prediction was right.
Source
Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no
The verdict· graded 06 Sept
South Africa beat New Zealand 29–24 at FNB Stadium on 2026-09-05.
The claim says the Springboks would defeat the All Blacks in that third Test on that date and venue. The match was played and South Africa won 29–24, so the predicted outcome happened exactly as stated.
Source
The event so far
8 predictions from 3 stations
Mon 17 Aug, 16:29Cape Talk
The South African Springboks will lead the New Zealand All Blacks 3-0 after the first three tests of the series.John Dobson
Mon 31 Aug, 04:43702This one
2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no
Mon 31 Aug, 06:28Cape Talk
A three-plane flyover will take place at FNB Stadium during the South Africa-New Zealand rugby test on 2026-09-05.Nick Rowland
Mon 31 Aug, 08:08Cape Talk
The planned flyover at FNB Stadium will be shelved and no flyover will take place before the South Africa-New Zealand third rugby test on 2026-09-05.Lester Kivit
Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no
The verdict· graded 03 Sept
On 2026-09-01, Brown Mogotsi’s bail matter was postponed to 11 September 2026; no bail denial was issued that day.
The claim said the Johannesburg Magistrates' Court would deny the bail application on 2026-09-01, but the research notes say the court did not rule on bail then. Instead, the matter was postponed, so the predicted denial did not happen on the stated date.
3 sources
The verdict· graded 01 Sept
Eskom announced a profit on 2026-08-31, reporting a second consecutive profitable year with profit after tax of R30.3 billion.
The claim named a specific date, 2026-09-02, but the profit announcement happened two days earlier on 2026-08-31. Because the timing is part of the prediction, this is not a match even though the profit itself did occur.
The verdict· graded 31 Aug
Hakainde Hichilema’s swearing-in was scheduled for 1 September 2026, not by 31 August 2026.
The claim set a deadline of 2026-08-31, but the research notes say the inauguration was officially set for 2026-09-01. Since it had not gone ahead by the stated date, the prediction was wrong.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
Rory McIlroy finished T7 at the 2026 TOUR Championship and did not win the FedExCup.
The claim said McIlroy would not win the 2026 FedExCup after the Tour Championship. The official PGA TOUR results page shows he finished T7, so he did not win the title. That makes the prediction correct.
2 sources
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
Mamelodi Sundowns beat Lamontville Golden Arrows 3-2 in the second leg and advanced to the final on away goals after a 3-3 aggregate draw.
The prediction required Golden Arrows to advance after a 1-1 draw. The match report says Sundowns won the second leg 3-2, so Arrows did not draw 1-1 and did not progress.
Source
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
South Africa beat New Zealand 33–26 in Cape Town on 29 August 2026.
The prediction said the Springboks would beat the All Blacks in their upcoming match in Cape Town. The research notes say that match was played and South Africa won, 33–26, so the outcome matches the claim exactly.
Source
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
On 28 August 2026, Parliament’s Portfolio Committee on Higher Education held a student-accommodation colloquium that included the Private Student Housing Association.
The committee meeting happened on the stated date, and the notes say the Private Student Housing Association’s proposal was presented or raised there. That matches the prediction’s claim about both the audience and timing.
The verdict· graded 30 Aug
South Africa beat New Zealand 33-26 at DHL Stadium on 29 August 2026, leveling the series 1-1.
The prediction said New Zealand would defeat South Africa in the second test at DHL Stadium. The match result was the opposite: South Africa won 33-26 in that game, so the stated outcome did not happen.
Source
The event so far
3 predictions from 2 stations
Thu 27 Aug, 21:25Cape TalkThis one
2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no
Fri 28 Aug, 04:35702
The South Africa Springboks will defeat the New Zealand All Blacks in the second rugby test at DHL Stadium on 2026-08-29.Roman
Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no
The verdict· graded 29 Aug
Orlando Pirates beat Sekhukhune United 3–0 (4–0 on aggregate) on 29 August 2026 to reach the MTN8 final. (Corrected by the desk: the automated resolution was written on 28 August, before the second leg, and dated it 30 August.)
The claim, made on 22 August, was that Pirates would qualify for the final within a week; the second leg on 29 August settled the tie in their favour, inside that window.
2 sources
Readers: 2 said yes, 0 said no
The verdict· graded 29 Aug
Pieter-Steph du Toit reached 100 Test caps for South Africa in Cape Town on 29 August 2026.
The research notes explicitly say the milestone happened in the Cape Town Test on 29 August 2026. That matches the prediction’s claimed player, cap total, team, and venue.
Readers: 2 said yes, 0 said no
