Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

57%

of 169 graded calls were right

96 correct73 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Record by stationtracked calls aired on each station

StationRight / gradedHit rate
70225 / 3376%
SAfm28 / 3874%
Power FM21 / 4646%
Cape Talk19 / 4245%
9473 / 743%
Kaya 9590 / 30%

A station’s number is mostly what its shows talk about — sport and politics grade very differently. Narrow by topic to compare like with like.

3 named speakers have at least 3 graded calls: Avon Middleton (3 of 5), Errol (1 of 3) and Matthew Parks (1 of 3). A ranked speaker table opens once 5 qualify.

Incorrect calls, newest first1–30 of 48

The verdict· graded 13 Oct

Coventry City beat Newcastle United 4-1 at the CBS Arena in the Premier League on 12 October 2026, moving out of the relegation zone.

The claim picked Newcastle to win, but Newcastle lost heavily. Four dated reports, including Newcastle's own club site, agree on the 4-1 Coventry home victory.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

A caller · Power FMAired 12 Oct

The verdict· graded 11 Oct

The Bulls hammered the Lions 57-15 at Loftus Versfeld on Saturday, a 42-point win for the home side.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Fri 9 Oct, 11:41947This one

    The host

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
The host · 947Aired 09 Oct

The verdict· graded 10 Oct

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Orlando Pirates 2-0 in the MTN8 final at a sold-out Moses Mabhida Stadium, with Teboho Mokoena and Iqraam Rayners scoring, ending Pirates' dominance of the competition.

The event so far

19 predictions from 5 stations

  1. Tue 29 Sep, 09:47Power FMThis one

    10 people called this · 6 yes, 4 no

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
  3. Correct
  4. Correct
+6 more

Readers: 0 said yes, 3 said no

Makashule Gana · Power FMAired 29 Sept

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

On 7 October 2026, reports said an anti-migrant group had shut down the Durban Refugee Reception Centre the day before, bringing asylum applications to a standstill.

That means protesters did stop all asylum-application processing, which is the opposite of the claim. The 7 October SABC report shows demands to halt processing, and the Kurrently report says the centre was already shut down and applications were at a standstill.

Talisha Naidu · SAfmAired 07 Oct

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

South Africa’s official fuel price adjustments took effect on 2026-10-07, with petrol rising by R3.12 a litre and R3.33 a litre

The event so far

5 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Fri 25 Sep, 15:12702This one

    John Perlman

    Correct
  2. Incorrect
  3. Incorrect
  4. Correct
+1 more
John Perlman · 702Aired 25 Sept

The verdict· graded 06 Oct

By 2026-10-05, City Power had restored about 65% of electricity supply to customers affected in Johannesburg’s central business district, and full restoration was targeted for 2026-10-08.

The prediction said supply would be restored by 5 October 2026, but the dated 2026-10-05 passage says only about 65% had been restored and that full restoration was now targeted for 8 October. That means the by-5-October outcome did not happen.

Isaac Mangera · 702Aired 03 Oct

The verdict· graded 03 Oct

City Power withdrew its technical teams in Kliptown and said electricity restoration would be delayed until they could safely return.

The dated evidence from 2026-10-02 says restoration was delayed and the teams were withdrawn, which conflicts with the claim that electricity would be restored by the evening of 2 October 2026. The passages do not support completion by that deadline.

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

Isaac Mangena · Power FMAired 02 Oct

The verdict· graded 02 Oct

By the evening of 1 October, around 30% of affected customers were still without electricity. Technical teams had to implement emergency load rotation systems to manage grid constraints while repairs and load transfers continued. The restoration process reached approximately 95% completion by the fo

Readers: 0 said yes, 2 said no

Duamato Muchiza · 702Aired 01 Oct

The verdict· graded 01 Oct

While the judicial review challenging the legality of the Section 89 Phala Phala independent panel's report was argued before a full bench of the Western Cape High Court from 2 to 4 September 2026, the court did not deliver a judgment by 30 September 2026. Instead, the three-judge bench reserved jud

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Thu 20 Aug, 21:54702This one

    Godrich Gardi

    Incorrect
  2. Correct
Godrich Gardi · 702Aired 20 Aug

The verdict· graded 01 Oct

Australia beat South Africa by 47 runs via Duckworth/Lewis/Stern in the third ODI at Potchefstroom on 2026-09-30.

The claim said South Africa would defeat Australia and complete a 3-0 sweep, but both passages say Australia won the dead-rubber third ODI. That means the predicted winner was wrong, so the sweep did not happen.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

Zai Khan · SAfmAired 29 Sept

The verdict· graded 23 Sept

South African Reserve Bank (SARB) governor Lesetja Kganyago this afternoon announced that the prime lending rate would increase by 0.25 percentage points given the upside to inflation.

The event so far

6 predictions from 3 stations

  1. Incorrect
  2. Thu 10 Sep, 17:46Power FMThis one

    4 people called this · 3 yes, 1 no

    Correct
  3. Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

The host · Power FMAired 10 Sept

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

Australia beat South Africa 42-38 in Perth on 2026-09-27.

The verified passages all say Australia defeated South Africa in Perth on Sunday 27 September 2026, with scores of 42-38 or equivalent. That is the opposite of the prediction that Australia would lose.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

Craig Ray · Cape TalkAired 25 Sept

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

AAD 2026 took place between 16 and 18 September 2026 at Air Force Base Waterkloof; SANews said it was expected to attract more than 30,000 trade visitors. No official confirmation of the 100 000 visitor prediction.

The event so far

2 predictions from Power FM

  1. Tue 15 Sep, 11:11Power FMThis one

    Nagedi Pasha

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
Nagedi Pasha · Power FMAired 15 Sept

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Mon 31 Aug, 05:18Cape TalkThis one

    Matthew Parks

    Incorrect
  2. Correct
Matthew Parks · Cape TalkAired 31 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The IEC certified 136,790 candidates for the 4 November 2026 local government elections on 16 September and said it would publish the final lists that day. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the final candidate list would contain more than 100,000 candidates. The IEC certified 136,790, well above that, and said the lists would be published the same day. The reports give the certified total rather than quoting the published list itself.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Thu 27 Aug, 05:22702This one

    Sai Mamabolo

    Correct
  2. Incorrect
Sai Mamabolo · 702Aired 27 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

Talks deadlocked and SATAWU truck-driver members had a strike certificate, but the evidence does not show industrial action actually began.

The dated 2026-08-18 item shows only a deadlock in talks and that SATAWU truck drivers had already obtained a strike certificate, which is preparation rather than the start of industrial action. The undated agreement also does not establish that a strike began before 2026-09-15.

Amanda Temes · SAfmAired 15 Aug

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Antonelli won the first GP of Spain in Madring; Verstappen was 2nd and Norris 3rd.

The dated evidence from 2026-09-13 shows Antonelli first, Verstappen second, and Norris third, so Russell did not finish second as predicted. The undated Formula1.com result conflicts with the dated reports, but the dated passages establish the deciding outcome.

Avon Middleton · Cape TalkAired 12 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa won the 2026 series against New Zealand 3–1, sealing it with a 43–28 win in Baltimore on 12 September 2026. (Corrected by the desk: an earlier manual verdict graded the series off the first Test alone.)

The speaker said the All Blacks would win the series. New Zealand won the first Test 33–16 but lost the next three, so the series went to the Springboks 3–1.

The event so far

3 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Wed 12 Aug, 16:48Cape TalkThis one

    On air

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
  3. Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

On air · Cape TalkAired 12 Aug

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand in Baltimore on 12 September 2026.

The prediction said the Springboks would not win, but the research notes say they did win that fourth Test. That makes the claim false regardless of the venue or date matching.

The event so far

3 predictions from 3 stations

  1. Correct
  2. Tue 8 Sep, 08:19Cape TalkThis one

    2 people called this · 1 yes, 1 no

    Incorrect

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

A guest · Cape TalkAired 08 Sept

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

Danny Jordaan was re-elected SAFA president at the elective congress on 12 September 2026.

The research notes say a post-event report on 12 September 2026 reported Sandile Zungu conceded defeat and congratulated Jordaan on his re-election. That directly matches the claim that Jordaan won the SAFA presidential election on that date.

The event so far

3 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Incorrect
  2. Wed 9 Sep, 09:13Power FMThis one

    2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no

    Correct

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

Monji Makaya · Power FMAired 09 Sept

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].