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Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

33%

of 3 graded calls were right · this filter

1 correct2 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Verdicts, newest first1–3 of 3

[Politics]Incorrect

COSATU's 15th National Congress will make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17.

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

2 sources

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Mon 31 Aug, 05:18Cape TalkThis one

    Matthew Parks

    Incorrect

  2. Mon 14 Sep, 16:12Power FM

    COSATU's 15th National Congress will take place despite the delay over the adoption of credentials.

    Matthew Parks

    Correct
Matthew Parks · Cape TalkAired 31 Aug
[Politics]Correct

The IEC's final published candidate list for the November 2026 local government elections will contain more than 100,000 candidates.

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The IEC certified 136,790 candidates for the 4 November 2026 local government elections on 16 September and said it would publish the final lists that day. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the final candidate list would contain more than 100,000 candidates. The IEC certified 136,790, well above that, and said the lists would be published the same day. The reports give the certified total rather than quoting the published list itself.

3 sources

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Thu 27 Aug, 05:22702This one

    Sai Mamabolo

    Correct

  2. Thu 3 Sep, 07:31Cape Talk

    The IEC will formally confirm that 55 political parties are contesting the 2026 local government elections in the Western Cape on 16 September 2026.

    The host

    Incorrect
Sai Mamabolo · 702Aired 27 Aug

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].