On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

The verdict· graded 25 Sept

On 23 September 2026, the special council meeting failed to reach a quorum and was adjourned, leaving Knysna without an elected executive mayor

The verdict· graded 24 Sept

A UN-commissioned fact-finding mission on Iran presented a report on 2026-09-23 finding the U.S. was likely responsible for war crimes in two strikes.

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The IEC certified 136,790 candidates for the 4 November 2026 local government elections on 16 September and said it would publish the final lists that day. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the final candidate list would contain more than 100,000 candidates. The IEC certified 136,790, well above that, and said the lists would be published the same day. The reports give the certified total rather than quoting the published list itself.

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

By 11 September 2026, the committee had not tabled its report and was still seeking an extension to finish the draft.

The prediction required the report to be submitted by that date, but Parliament said on 11 September 2026 the committee was asking for more time instead. Because the report was not actually submitted, the predicted outcome did not occur, so the claimed majority and dissenting views were never established on the official record.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

During the mass student march on Thursday, 27 August 2026, UCT News, University of Cape Town (UCT) students handed over a memorandum of demands to both the National Student Financial Aid Scheme (NSFAS) and the Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET). [1] (https://www.facebook.com/DHETinSA

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

On 28 August 2026, Parliament’s Portfolio Committee on Higher Education held a student-accommodation colloquium that included the Private Student Housing Association.

The committee meeting happened on the stated date, and the notes say the Private Student Housing Association’s proposal was presented or raised there. That matches the prediction’s claim about both the audience and timing.

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 26 August 2026, the National Assembly rejected the EFF motion of no confidence in Speaker Thoko Didiza, with 282 votes against and 101 for.

The claim was that Parliament would vote against the motion, and that is exactly what happened on 2026-08-26. The motion was defeated, so the predicted outcome was realized.