On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Carlos Alcaraz was eliminated in the 2026 US Open quarterfinals and did not win the men’s singles title.

The claim required Alcaraz to win the title and successfully defend it. The research notes say Ben Shelton beat Alcaraz in the quarterfinals on September 9, 2026, ending his title defense before the final.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

On Sept. 2 and 3, reports said nearly 70,000 beneficiaries were still to collect Postbank black cards and more than 1.8 million had switched.

The passages show public progress figures, but they do not establish that Postbank itself issued the specific public report by 2026-09-04. Because the evidence does not confirm that the deciding event occurred, this cannot be graded correct or incorrect yet.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Sizekhaya introduced Multiplay 2 for the National Lottery from 1 September 2026, letting players add two extra numbers to their selection. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that Multiplay 2 would launch on 1 September. Reporting confirms Sizekhaya introduced it, and that it lets players add two numbers to their selection, which is the eight-numbers mechanic the claim described. The reports do not restate the winning-on-six rule in those words.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

CPUT reported calm on its campuses after the emergency evacuation of residences, with no incidents of violence or protest action reported overnight. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the student evacuation would pass without violent scenes. Reports dated 20 and 21 August describe calm on campus after the evacuation, with no incidents of violence or protest action overnight, despite the violent unrest earlier that week.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Both Aston Martins made the grid for the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at Madrid: Alonso qualified 18th (starting 17th after a penalty to Sainz) and Stroll, who set no time in Q1, started 22nd after grid penalties. (Corrected by the desk: the automated verdict had graded this incorrect on a misread of the classification.)

The speaker said both drivers would get onto the grid, not where they would qualify. Both did.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand in Baltimore on 12 September 2026.

The prediction said the Springboks would not win, but the research notes say they did win that fourth Test. That makes the claim false regardless of the venue or date matching.

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

Danny Jordaan was re-elected SAFA president at the elective congress on 12 September 2026.

The research notes say a post-event report on 12 September 2026 reported Sandile Zungu conceded defeat and congratulated Jordaan on his re-election. That directly matches the claim that Jordaan won the SAFA presidential election on that date.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa won the 2026 series against New Zealand 3–1, sealing it with a 43–28 win in Baltimore on 12 September 2026. (Corrected by the desk: an earlier manual verdict graded the series off the first Test alone.)

The speaker said the All Blacks would win the series. New Zealand won the first Test 33–16 but lost the next three, so the series went to the Springboks 3–1.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Orlando Pirates beat La Cure Waves 3-1 on 12 September 2026 and advanced to the second preliminary round on aggregate.

The prediction said Pirates would advance after the second leg on 12 September 2026, and the notes say they won that second leg 3-1 and moved on. That matches the claimed outcome exactly.

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

Ben Shelton defeated Frances Tiafoe in the 2026 US Open men’s singles semifinal on September 11, 2026.

The research notes explicitly confirm Shelton beat Tiafoe in that semifinal. That matches the prediction exactly, including the tournament, round, and winner.

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

By 11 September 2026, the committee had not tabled its report and was still seeking an extension to finish the draft.

The prediction required the report to be submitted by that date, but Parliament said on 11 September 2026 the committee was asking for more time instead. Because the report was not actually submitted, the predicted outcome did not occur, so the claimed majority and dissenting views were never established on the official record.

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Coco Gauff defeated Mirra Andreeva in the US Open quarterfinal, 2-6, 7-6(7), 6-2, and advanced to the semifinals.

The match had already been played and the notes report Gauff as the winner. That matches the prediction that Gauff would defeat Andreeva in their quarterfinal.

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Mamelodi Sundowns defeated Siwelele FC 3–0 on 9 September 2026.

The prediction said Sundowns would defeat Siwelele FC in that match, and the researched result shows Sundowns won 3–0 on the stated date. The exact margin was not specified in the prediction, but the predicted winner and outcome match.

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Alexander Zverev defeated Botic van de Zandschulp in the 2026 US Open men’s singles quarterfinal on September 9, 2026.

The research notes explicitly state that Zverev beat van de Zandschulp in that quarterfinal on the stated date. That matches the prediction’s winner, round, and date, so the claim is satisfied.

The verdict· graded 09 Sept

By 9 September 2026, Iran had targeted a U.S. warship twice and the United States said it destroyed five Iranian crude oil tankers.

The prediction required both an Iranian attempt against a U.S. naval ship and a U.S. destruction of at least one Iranian oil tanker on 9 September 2026. CENTCOM said the warship was targeted twice and the U.S. destroyed five tankers, so both parts of the claim were met.

The verdict· graded 09 Sept

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alex Michelsen in the US Open men's singles quarterfinal on 8 September 2026, 5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6(6).

The claim said Tiafoe would defeat Michelsen in that specific quarterfinal, and the match was completed with Tiafoe as the winner. The date and event match the prediction exactly, so the outcome confirms the call.

The verdict· graded 08 Sept

Canada’s counter-tariffs on U.S. goods took effect on September 8, 2026.

The prediction named the effective date, and the official Canadian notices say the counter-tariffs were effective as of 12:01 a.m. on September 8, 2026. That matches the claim exactly, with no date mismatch or other qualifying detail.

The verdict· graded 07 Sept

Canal+ publicly confirmed the DStv package restructuring on 7 September 2026, including the new package lineup and rollout date.

The claim was that the public confirmation would happen on Monday, 7 September 2026, and the research notes say it did. The notes identify the event as the confirmation point, not just a preview or leak, so the timing and substance both match.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

Kimi Antonelli finished 1st at the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza.

Finishing 1st is inside the predicted top-five range, so the claim is satisfied. The race result is explicitly recorded as concluded with Antonelli in P1.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

Uncanny Alley: A New Day won Outstanding Emerging Media Program at the 2026 Creative Arts Emmys on September 5, 2026.

Rick Treweek’s nominated project did win the Emmy, so the prediction that he would win his nomination was realized. The claim and the outcome match on the specific category and event date.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

During the mass student march on Thursday, 27 August 2026, UCT News, University of Cape Town (UCT) students handed over a memorandum of demands to both the National Student Financial Aid Scheme (NSFAS) and the Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET). [1] (https://www.facebook.com/DHETinSA

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

On 5 September 2026, New Zealand's Black Ferns defeated South Africa's Springbok Women 52–20 in Johannesburg.

The claim was that the Black Ferns would defeat the Springbok Women on 2026-09-05, and the match report confirms they did. The result matches both the winner and the date, so the prediction was right.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand 29–24 at FNB Stadium on 2026-09-05.

The claim says the Springboks would defeat the All Blacks in that third Test on that date and venue. The match was played and South Africa won 29–24, so the predicted outcome happened exactly as stated.

The verdict· graded 01 Oct

While the judicial review challenging the legality of the Section 89 Phala Phala independent panel's report was argued before a full bench of the Western Cape High Court from 2 to 4 September 2026, the court did not deliver a judgment by 30 September 2026. Instead, the three-judge bench reserved jud

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

Rory McIlroy finished T7 at the 2026 TOUR Championship and did not win the FedExCup.

The claim said McIlroy would not win the 2026 FedExCup after the Tour Championship. The official PGA TOUR results page shows he finished T7, so he did not win the title. That makes the prediction correct.

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

South Africa beat New Zealand 33–26 in Cape Town on 29 August 2026.

The prediction said the Springboks would beat the All Blacks in their upcoming match in Cape Town. The research notes say that match was played and South Africa won, 33–26, so the outcome matches the claim exactly.

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

On 28 August 2026, Parliament’s Portfolio Committee on Higher Education held a student-accommodation colloquium that included the Private Student Housing Association.

The committee meeting happened on the stated date, and the notes say the Private Student Housing Association’s proposal was presented or raised there. That matches the prediction’s claim about both the audience and timing.

The verdict· graded 29 Aug

Orlando Pirates beat Sekhukhune United 3–0 (4–0 on aggregate) on 29 August 2026 to reach the MTN8 final. (Corrected by the desk: the automated resolution was written on 28 August, before the second leg, and dated it 30 August.)

The claim, made on 22 August, was that Pirates would qualify for the final within a week; the second leg on 29 August settled the tie in their favour, inside that window.

The verdict· graded 29 Aug

Pieter-Steph du Toit reached 100 Test caps for South Africa in Cape Town on 29 August 2026.

The research notes explicitly say the milestone happened in the Cape Town Test on 29 August 2026. That matches the prediction’s claimed player, cap total, team, and venue.