Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

57%

of 169 graded calls were right

96 correct73 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Record by stationtracked calls aired on each station

StationRight / gradedHit rate
70225 / 3376%
SAfm28 / 3874%
Power FM21 / 4646%
Cape Talk19 / 4245%
9473 / 743%
Kaya 9590 / 30%

A station’s number is mostly what its shows talk about — sport and politics grade very differently. Narrow by topic to compare like with like.

3 named speakers have at least 3 graded calls: Avon Middleton (3 of 5), Errol (1 of 3) and Matthew Parks (1 of 3). A ranked speaker table opens once 5 qualify.

Verdicts, newest first91–107 of 107

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 28 August 2026, USD/ZAR traded and closed below R16 per US dollar.

The claim required both a move below R16 and a trading-day close below that level by 2026-08-28, and the research notes explicitly confirm that happened on 28 August 2026. That matches the prediction exactly, so it is correct.

The host · SAfmAired 24 Aug

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 26 August 2026, the National Assembly rejected the EFF motion of no confidence in Speaker Thoko Didiza, with 282 votes against and 101 for.

The claim was that Parliament would vote against the motion, and that is exactly what happened on 2026-08-26. The motion was defeated, so the predicted outcome was realized.

Who called it

3 predictions from 2 stations · 2 yes, 1 no

  1. Fri 21 Aug, 05:50SAfmThis one

    Nobush and Kabani

    Yes
  2. Wed 26 Aug, 05:55SAfm

    Advocate Glynnis Breitenbach
    Yes
  3. Wed 26 Aug, 07:03Power FM

    On air
    No
Nobush and Kabani · SAfmAired 21 Aug

The verdict· graded 26 Aug

On 25 August 2026, the three accused in the Reiger Park murder case appeared in the Boksburg Magistrates’ Court and continued their bail application.

The notes explicitly say the accused appeared in court on the specified date for their bail application. That matches the prediction’s date, court appearance, and purpose, so the claim is verified.

Samkele Kuzani · Cape TalkAired 21 Aug

The verdict· graded 26 Aug

New Zealand beat the Lions 41–35 at Ellis Park on 2026-08-25.

The claim was that the Lions would not defeat the All Blacks. The match was completed with New Zealand winning 41–35, so the Lions did not win. That outcome matches the prediction exactly.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Tue 25 Aug, 05:36702This one

    The host

    Correct
  2. Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

The host · 702Aired 25 Aug

The verdict· graded 24 Aug· weaker evidence

Matlala’s legal team prepared the supplementary affidavit and later sought condonation for a late filing after the 22 August 2026 deadline.

The claim says the legal team would file a supplementary affidavit within days, and the outcome shows they did prepare and later submit that supplementary affidavit. That matches the substance of the prediction, even though the later condonation issue concerns timing rather than whether the filing happened.

Ms. Van Hief · 702Aired 17 Aug

The verdict· graded 24 Aug

Lando Norris won the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort, George Russell finished second, and Charles Leclerc finished fifth.

The claim got the podium order wrong: Norris did not finish second, Russell did not finish third, and Leclerc did not win at all. The actual result had Norris first, Russell second, and Leclerc fifth, so the predicted finishing positions do not match the outcome.

Avon Middleton · Cape TalkAired 21 Aug

The verdict· graded 22 Aug

The All Blacks defeated the Springboks 33–16 on 2026-08-22 at Ellis Park in Johannesburg.

The claim got the winner wrong: it predicted a Springboks victory, but the All Blacks won instead. The date matched, but the result went the opposite way, with a 33–16 loss for South Africa.

The event so far

8 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Correct
  2. Mon 17 Aug, 12:59702This one

    2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no

    Incorrect
  3. Incorrect
  4. Incorrect
+3 more

Readers: 4 said yes, 0 said no

A guest · 702Aired 17 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Aug

Banyana Banyana beat Nigeria 2–1 in Morocco on 13 August 2026, with goals from Thembi Kgatlana and Refiloe Jane, securing an intercontinental playoff place for the 2027 Women's World Cup.

The claim got the result right: Banyana Banyana did beat Nigeria in the playoff on 2026-08-13. The outcome also matches the matchup and date, so there is no divergence to note.

The host · 702Aired 13 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Aug

Kaizer Chiefs drew 1–1 with Mamelodi Sundowns on 15 August 2026 — a draw, not the predicted Chiefs win. (Summary corrected by the desk: the original automated resolution reported a result before the match was played.)

The claim said Kaizer Chiefs would beat Mamelodi Sundowns, but the match ended 1–1, so Chiefs did not win. The date matches, but the predicted result was wrong: it was a draw, not a Chiefs victory.

On air · Power FMAired 14 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Aug· weaker evidence

Reports from July 2026 described only partial Pikitup depot disruptions, and no reliable source confirmed that all depots were closed on 2026-08-14.

The claim said all Pick It Up depots would close on 2026-08-14, but the reports only showed partial depot disruptions and never confirmed a full shutdown on that date. That means the specific “all depots closed” prediction did not come true.

Temba Magwooda · Cape TalkAired 13 Aug

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].