Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

74%

of 38 graded calls were right · this filter

28 correct10 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Incorrect calls, newest first1–10 of 10

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

On 7 October 2026, reports said an anti-migrant group had shut down the Durban Refugee Reception Centre the day before, bringing asylum applications to a standstill.

That means protesters did stop all asylum-application processing, which is the opposite of the claim. The 7 October SABC report shows demands to halt processing, and the Kurrently report says the centre was already shut down and applications were at a standstill.

Talisha Naidu · SAfmAired 07 Oct

The verdict· graded 07 Oct

South Africa’s official fuel price adjustments took effect on 2026-10-07, with petrol rising by R3.12 a litre and R3.33 a litre

The event so far

5 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Fri 25 Sep, 15:12702This one

    John Perlman

    Correct
  2. Incorrect
  3. Incorrect
  4. Correct
+1 more
John Perlman · 702Aired 25 Sept

The verdict· graded 01 Oct

Australia beat South Africa by 47 runs via Duckworth/Lewis/Stern in the third ODI at Potchefstroom on 2026-09-30.

The claim said South Africa would defeat Australia and complete a 3-0 sweep, but both passages say Australia won the dead-rubber third ODI. That means the predicted winner was wrong, so the sweep did not happen.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

Zai Khan · SAfmAired 29 Sept

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

Talks deadlocked and SATAWU truck-driver members had a strike certificate, but the evidence does not show industrial action actually began.

The dated 2026-08-18 item shows only a deadlock in talks and that SATAWU truck drivers had already obtained a strike certificate, which is preparation rather than the start of industrial action. The undated agreement also does not establish that a strike began before 2026-09-15.

Amanda Temes · SAfmAired 15 Aug

The verdict· graded 11 Sept

Manchester United beat Sabah FC 4-0 on 10 September 2026 in the UEFA Champions League match.

The prediction said Sabah FC would defeat Manchester United, but the research notes report the actual final score was Manchester United 4-0 Sabah. That outcome is the opposite of the claim, so the prediction was wrong.

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

The host · SAfmAired 10 Sept

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Carlos Alcaraz was eliminated in the 2026 US Open quarterfinals and did not win the men’s singles title.

The claim required Alcaraz to win the title and successfully defend it. The research notes say Ben Shelton beat Alcaraz in the quarterfinals on September 9, 2026, ending his title defense before the final.

The event so far

2 predictions from SAfm

  1. Tue 8 Sep, 19:29SAfmThis one

    Sabelo Matebula

    Incorrect
  2. Correct
Sabelo Matebula · SAfmAired 08 Sept

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].