On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

By 11 September 2026, the committee had not tabled its report and was still seeking an extension to finish the draft.

The prediction required the report to be submitted by that date, but Parliament said on 11 September 2026 the committee was asking for more time instead. Because the report was not actually submitted, the predicted outcome did not occur, so the claimed majority and dissenting views were never established on the official record.

The verdict· graded 11 Sept

Coco Gauff did not win the 2026 US Open women’s singles title; Elena Rybakina beat her in the semifinal.

The claim required Gauff to win the title, but the research notes say she lost in the semifinal to Rybakina. Since she was eliminated before the final, the predicted outcome did not happen.

The verdict· graded 11 Sept

Manchester United beat Sabah FC 4-0 on 10 September 2026 in the UEFA Champions League match.

The prediction said Sabah FC would defeat Manchester United, but the research notes report the actual final score was Manchester United 4-0 Sabah. That outcome is the opposite of the claim, so the prediction was wrong.

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Carlos Alcaraz was eliminated in the 2026 US Open quarterfinals and did not win the men’s singles title.

The claim required Alcaraz to win the title and successfully defend it. The research notes say Ben Shelton beat Alcaraz in the quarterfinals on September 9, 2026, ending his title defense before the final.

The verdict· graded 07 Sept

By 2026-09-06, the ANC had not publicly concluded its final mayoral nominee selection and was still dealing with election-list turmoil.

The claim required the selection process to be concluded by the deadline, but the research notes show it was still delayed and unresolved on 2026-09-06. That means the predicted outcome did not occur by the specified date.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

Tadej Pogačar did not win the 2026 Vuelta a España; he abandoned the race on stage 8 after a crash, and Enric Mas was later the GC leader.

The prediction named Pogačar as the race winner, but the race outcome in the notes shows he withdrew on stage 8 and therefore could not win. The claim is settled against the speaker because the actual result diverged from the predicted winner, not just the margin or method.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand 29–24 at FNB Stadium on 2026-09-05.

The claim says the Springboks would defeat the All Blacks in that third Test on that date and venue. The match was played and South Africa won 29–24, so the predicted outcome happened exactly as stated.

The verdict· graded 03 Sept

On 2026-09-01, Brown Mogotsi’s bail matter was postponed to 11 September 2026; no bail denial was issued that day.

The claim said the Johannesburg Magistrates' Court would deny the bail application on 2026-09-01, but the research notes say the court did not rule on bail then. Instead, the matter was postponed, so the predicted denial did not happen on the stated date.

The verdict· graded 01 Sept

Eskom announced a profit on 2026-08-31, reporting a second consecutive profitable year with profit after tax of R30.3 billion.

The claim named a specific date, 2026-09-02, but the profit announcement happened two days earlier on 2026-08-31. Because the timing is part of the prediction, this is not a match even though the profit itself did occur.

The verdict· graded 31 Aug

Hakainde Hichilema’s swearing-in was scheduled for 1 September 2026, not by 31 August 2026.

The claim set a deadline of 2026-08-31, but the research notes say the inauguration was officially set for 2026-09-01. Since it had not gone ahead by the stated date, the prediction was wrong.

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Lamontville Golden Arrows 3-2 in the second leg and advanced to the final on away goals after a 3-3 aggregate draw.

The prediction required Golden Arrows to advance after a 1-1 draw. The match report says Sundowns won the second leg 3-2, so Arrows did not draw 1-1 and did not progress.

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

South Africa beat New Zealand 33-26 at DHL Stadium on 29 August 2026, leveling the series 1-1.

The prediction said New Zealand would defeat South Africa in the second test at DHL Stadium. The match result was the opposite: South Africa won 33-26 in that game, so the stated outcome did not happen.

The verdict· graded 27 Aug

On 26 August 2026, the National Assembly rejected the EFF motion of no confidence in Speaker Thoko Didiza, with 282 votes against and 101 for.

The claim was that Parliament would vote against the motion, and that is exactly what happened on 2026-08-26. The motion was defeated, so the predicted outcome was realized.

The verdict· graded 25 Aug

Chelsea did not win 2-1; the match finished Fulham 2-3 Chelsea on 2026-08-24.

The call on the winner was right, but the predicted scoreline was wrong: Chelsea did beat Fulham, yet not 2-1. The actual result was 3-2, so the claim missed the margin and final score.

The verdict· graded 24 Aug

Lando Norris won the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort, George Russell finished second, and Charles Leclerc finished fifth.

The claim got the podium order wrong: Norris did not finish second, Russell did not finish third, and Leclerc did not win at all. The actual result had Norris first, Russell second, and Leclerc fifth, so the predicted finishing positions do not match the outcome.

The verdict· graded 22 Aug

The All Blacks defeated the Springboks 33–16 on 2026-08-22 at Ellis Park in Johannesburg.

The claim got the winner wrong: it predicted a Springboks victory, but the All Blacks won instead. The date matched, but the result went the opposite way, with a 33–16 loss for South Africa.

The verdict· graded 17 Aug

Kaizer Chiefs drew 1–1 with Mamelodi Sundowns on 15 August 2026 — a draw, not the predicted Chiefs win. (Summary corrected by the desk: the original automated resolution reported a result before the match was played.)

The claim said Kaizer Chiefs would beat Mamelodi Sundowns, but the match ended 1–1, so Chiefs did not win. The date matches, but the predicted result was wrong: it was a draw, not a Chiefs victory.

The verdict· graded 17 Aug· weaker evidence

Reports from July 2026 described only partial Pikitup depot disruptions, and no reliable source confirmed that all depots were closed on 2026-08-14.

The claim said all Pick It Up depots would close on 2026-08-14, but the reports only showed partial depot disruptions and never confirmed a full shutdown on that date. That means the specific “all depots closed” prediction did not come true.