Accountability

On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

Hosts, analysts and callers make calls on air every day — rate cuts, reshuffles, title races. We extract the falsifiable ones from the broadcast transcript, wait for the horizon, and score them against public sources. Every call keeps its audio receipt.

graded
169graded
correct
57%correct
open
83open
close this week
3close this week
30 graded in the last 7 days →

57%

of 169 graded calls were right

96 correct73 incorrect

Graded means checked against a public source after the check-by date. Verdicts judge the claim, never the person: hosts, guests and callers all count.

Record by stationtracked calls aired on each station

StationRight / gradedHit rate
70225 / 3376%
SAfm28 / 3874%
Power FM21 / 4646%
Cape Talk19 / 4245%
9473 / 743%
Kaya 9590 / 30%

A station’s number is mostly what its shows talk about — sport and politics grade very differently. Narrow by topic to compare like with like.

3 named speakers have at least 3 graded calls: Avon Middleton (3 of 5), Errol (1 of 3) and Matthew Parks (1 of 3). A ranked speaker table opens once 5 qualify.

Verdicts, newest first31–60 of 107

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

The United States beat the International Team 17-13 to win the 2026 Presidents Cup.

The verified passages say the United States completed the comeback and won 17-13, and that Jacob Bridgeman clinched the winning point as the U.S. beat the International Team 17-13. That matches the prediction that the United States team would win against the International team.

On air · Power FMAired 25 Sept

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

AAD 2026 took place between 16 and 18 September 2026 at Air Force Base Waterkloof; SANews said it was expected to attract more than 30,000 trade visitors. No official confirmation of the 100 000 visitor prediction.

The event so far

2 predictions from Power FM

  1. Tue 15 Sep, 11:11Power FMThis one

    Nagedi Pasha

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
Nagedi Pasha · Power FMAired 15 Sept

The verdict· graded 23 Sept

On 2026-09-22, reports publicly identified the arrested senior police officer as suspended deputy national police commissioner Lt-Gen Shadrack Sibiya.

The claim only asks whether the officer’s identity would be publicly confirmed by 22 September 2026. The 2026-09-22 passages do so explicitly, naming Shadrack Sibiya and describing him as the arrested senior officer accused of sexual grooming and rape.

Aubrey Masango · 702Aired 21 Sept

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Mon 31 Aug, 05:18Cape TalkThis one

    Matthew Parks

    Incorrect
  2. Correct
Matthew Parks · Cape TalkAired 31 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

Vitality, Discovery's global health business, and Google announced in New York on 17 September 2026 that they are bringing the Vitality AI platform to the United States. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier text cited a 2025 London event.)

The claim was that Discovery would launch Vitality AI in New York with Google on 17 September. Google's own press release is datelined New York, 17 September 2026, and announces the platform's launch into the United States with Vitality, which is part of Discovery.

Adrian Gore · SAfmAired 03 Sept

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The IEC certified 136,790 candidates for the 4 November 2026 local government elections on 16 September and said it would publish the final lists that day. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the final candidate list would contain more than 100,000 candidates. The IEC certified 136,790, well above that, and said the lists would be published the same day. The reports give the certified total rather than quoting the published list itself.

The event so far

2 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Thu 27 Aug, 05:22702This one

    Sai Mamabolo

    Correct
  2. Incorrect
Sai Mamabolo · 702Aired 27 Aug

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter point, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, at its 16 September 2026 meeting. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the Fed would raise its policy rate at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve's own statement for that meeting says the Committee decided to raise the target range by a quarter of a percentage point.

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

Kyle · SAfmAired 14 Sept

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

South Africa Women won the T20I series against Zimbabwe 5-0, winning every match including the third. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier text was an undecided draft that cited only the squad announcement.)

The claim was that South Africa Women would win the third T20I and the series. The ICC reports a 5-0 series sweep, which means they won the third match as well as the series.

Janet · SAfmAired 16 Sept

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

Talks deadlocked and SATAWU truck-driver members had a strike certificate, but the evidence does not show industrial action actually began.

The dated 2026-08-18 item shows only a deadlock in talks and that SATAWU truck drivers had already obtained a strike certificate, which is preparation rather than the start of industrial action. The undated agreement also does not establish that a strike began before 2026-09-15.

Amanda Temes · SAfmAired 15 Aug

The verdict· graded 10 Sept

Carlos Alcaraz was eliminated in the 2026 US Open quarterfinals and did not win the men’s singles title.

The claim required Alcaraz to win the title and successfully defend it. The research notes say Ben Shelton beat Alcaraz in the quarterfinals on September 9, 2026, ending his title defense before the final.

The event so far

2 predictions from SAfm

  1. Tue 8 Sep, 19:29SAfmThis one

    Sabelo Matebula

    Incorrect
  2. Correct
Sabelo Matebula · SAfmAired 08 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Antonelli won the first GP of Spain in Madring; Verstappen was 2nd and Norris 3rd.

The dated evidence from 2026-09-13 shows Antonelli first, Verstappen second, and Norris third, so Russell did not finish second as predicted. The undated Formula1.com result conflicts with the dated reports, but the dated passages establish the deciding outcome.

Avon Middleton · Cape TalkAired 12 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

On Sept. 2 and 3, reports said nearly 70,000 beneficiaries were still to collect Postbank black cards and more than 1.8 million had switched.

The passages show public progress figures, but they do not establish that Postbank itself issued the specific public report by 2026-09-04. Because the evidence does not confirm that the deciding event occurred, this cannot be graded correct or incorrect yet.

Paseka Litsatsi · 702Aired 02 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Sizekhaya introduced Multiplay 2 for the National Lottery from 1 September 2026, letting players add two extra numbers to their selection. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that Multiplay 2 would launch on 1 September. Reporting confirms Sizekhaya introduced it, and that it lets players add two numbers to their selection, which is the eight-numbers mechanic the claim described. The reports do not restate the winning-on-six rule in those words.

Khotatsu Keiji Mashile · 702Aired 28 Aug

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

CPUT reported calm on its campuses after the emergency evacuation of residences, with no incidents of violence or protest action reported overnight. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the student evacuation would pass without violent scenes. Reports dated 20 and 21 August describe calm on campus after the evacuation, with no incidents of violence or protest action overnight, despite the violent unrest earlier that week.

Lauren Cansley · Power FMAired 20 Aug

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Both Aston Martins made the grid for the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at Madrid: Alonso qualified 18th (starting 17th after a penalty to Sainz) and Stroll, who set no time in Q1, started 22nd after grid penalties. (Corrected by the desk: the automated verdict had graded this incorrect on a misread of the classification.)

The speaker said both drivers would get onto the grid, not where they would qualify. Both did.

A correspondent · SAfmAired 11 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand in Baltimore on 12 September 2026.

The prediction said the Springboks would not win, but the research notes say they did win that fourth Test. That makes the claim false regardless of the venue or date matching.

The event so far

3 predictions from 3 stations

  1. Correct
  2. Tue 8 Sep, 08:19Cape TalkThis one

    2 people called this · 1 yes, 1 no

    Incorrect

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

A guest · Cape TalkAired 08 Sept

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa won the 2026 series against New Zealand 3–1, sealing it with a 43–28 win in Baltimore on 12 September 2026. (Corrected by the desk: an earlier manual verdict graded the series off the first Test alone.)

The speaker said the All Blacks would win the series. New Zealand won the first Test 33–16 but lost the next three, so the series went to the Springboks 3–1.

The event so far

3 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Wed 12 Aug, 16:48Cape TalkThis one

    On air

    Incorrect
  2. Incorrect
  3. Correct

Readers: 1 said yes, 0 said no

On air · Cape TalkAired 12 Aug

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

Danny Jordaan was re-elected SAFA president at the elective congress on 12 September 2026.

The research notes say a post-event report on 12 September 2026 reported Sandile Zungu conceded defeat and congratulated Jordaan on his re-election. That directly matches the claim that Jordaan won the SAFA presidential election on that date.

The event so far

3 predictions from 2 stations

  1. Incorrect
  2. Wed 9 Sep, 09:13Power FMThis one

    2 people called this · 2 yes, 0 no

    Correct

Readers: 0 said yes, 1 said no

Monji Makaya · Power FMAired 09 Sept

How this works: predictions are extracted by AI from machine-generated transcripts of live broadcasts (“as heard on air” — transcription errors are possible), and outcomes are resolved against public sources, linked on each card. Speakers are named only when the broadcast itself identifies them. This page records what was said and what happened. The reader poll is audience sentiment, not odds — no money is involved and there is nothing to wager on. Corrections: [email protected].