On-air predictions, tracked to the outcome

The verdict· graded 05 Oct

South Africa beat Egypt 1-0 in Cairo.

The evidence shows South Africa won 1-0, not 3-1, so the predicted margin is wrong. The match is described as a Sunday night friendly in Cairo, which does not match the claim’s 2 October 2026 date.

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

Tragically, multiple fatal accidents were confirmed in the province over the high-traffic period, which coincided with the St Engenas Zion Christian Church (ZCC) pilgrimage and school holidays.

The verdict· graded 28 Sept

Australia beat South Africa 42-38 in Perth on 2026-09-27.

The verified passages all say Australia defeated South Africa in Perth on Sunday 27 September 2026, with scores of 42-38 or equivalent. That is the opposite of the prediction that Australia would lose.

The verdict· graded 20 Sept

Manchester United drew 1-1 with Fulham

The verdict· graded 18 Sept

COSATU postponed its 15th National Congress amid leadership tensions, and the congress was still only taking place in Midrand on 2026-09-15.

The claim required the congress to make a decision on COSATU's voting posture for the 2026 local government elections by 2026-09-17. The evidence instead says the 15th National Congress was postponed, and the later report only shows the congress was taking place on 2026-09-15, not that it had made the stated decision. That means the predicted outcome is not established and the event does not appear to have concluded by the deadline.

The verdict· graded 17 Sept

The IEC certified 136,790 candidates for the 4 November 2026 local government elections on 16 September and said it would publish the final lists that day. (Corrected by the desk: the earlier explanation was an undecided draft.)

The claim was that the final candidate list would contain more than 100,000 candidates. The IEC certified 136,790, well above that, and said the lists would be published the same day. The reports give the certified total rather than quoting the published list itself.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

Antonelli won the first GP of Spain in Madring; Verstappen was 2nd and Norris 3rd.

The dated evidence from 2026-09-13 shows Antonelli first, Verstappen second, and Norris third, so Russell did not finish second as predicted. The undated Formula1.com result conflicts with the dated reports, but the dated passages establish the deciding outcome.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa won the 2026 series against New Zealand 3–1, sealing it with a 43–28 win in Baltimore on 12 September 2026. (Corrected by the desk: an earlier manual verdict graded the series off the first Test alone.)

The speaker said the All Blacks would win the series. New Zealand won the first Test 33–16 but lost the next three, so the series went to the Springboks 3–1.

The verdict· graded 13 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand in Baltimore on 12 September 2026.

The prediction said the Springboks would not win, but the research notes say they did win that fourth Test. That makes the claim false regardless of the venue or date matching.

The verdict· graded 12 Sept

R 2 342 110 raised of R2.5 million - 94% of target reached

The verdict· graded 11 Sept

Coco Gauff did not win the 2026 US Open women’s singles title; Elena Rybakina beat her in the semifinal.

The claim required Gauff to win the title, but the research notes say she lost in the semifinal to Rybakina. Since she was eliminated before the final, the predicted outcome did not happen.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

Tadej Pogačar did not win the 2026 Vuelta a España; he abandoned the race on stage 8 after a crash, and Enric Mas was later the GC leader.

The prediction named Pogačar as the race winner, but the race outcome in the notes shows he withdrew on stage 8 and therefore could not win. The claim is settled against the speaker because the actual result diverged from the predicted winner, not just the margin or method.

The verdict· graded 06 Sept

South Africa beat New Zealand 29–24 at FNB Stadium on 2026-09-05.

The claim says the Springboks would defeat the All Blacks in that third Test on that date and venue. The match was played and South Africa won 29–24, so the predicted outcome happened exactly as stated.

The verdict· graded 30 Aug

South Africa beat New Zealand 33-26 at DHL Stadium on 29 August 2026, leveling the series 1-1.

The prediction said New Zealand would defeat South Africa in the second test at DHL Stadium. The match result was the opposite: South Africa won 33-26 in that game, so the stated outcome did not happen.

The verdict· graded 24 Aug

Lando Norris won the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort, George Russell finished second, and Charles Leclerc finished fifth.

The claim got the podium order wrong: Norris did not finish second, Russell did not finish third, and Leclerc did not win at all. The actual result had Norris first, Russell second, and Leclerc fifth, so the predicted finishing positions do not match the outcome.

The verdict· graded 22 Aug

The All Blacks defeated the Springboks 33–16 on 2026-08-22 at Ellis Park in Johannesburg.

The claim got the winner wrong: it predicted a Springboks victory, but the All Blacks won instead. The date matched, but the result went the opposite way, with a 33–16 loss for South Africa.

The verdict· graded 17 Aug· weaker evidence

Reports from July 2026 described only partial Pikitup depot disruptions, and no reliable source confirmed that all depots were closed on 2026-08-14.

The claim said all Pick It Up depots would close on 2026-08-14, but the reports only showed partial depot disruptions and never confirmed a full shutdown on that date. That means the specific “all depots closed” prediction did not come true.